Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 36.023320 42.683064 50.016196 58.660857 68.542311 79.453779 92.381921
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 26.976698 35.975586 46.869789 60.899472 78.344552 99.170295 125.743918
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 21.121038 30.941658 43.744563 61.377565 84.710826 114.176701 153.792435
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.428694 26.181383 39.754666 59.564009 87.191618 123.743691 175.023312
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.608789 23.363221 37.735599 59.777065 91.905020 136.078871 200.238498
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.635739 21.382902 36.503814 60.736665 97.448255 149.627233 227.687400
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.973828 17.783126 32.241781 56.537186 94.879856 151.302008 238.331538
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.947840 16.736860 31.824547 58.135745 100.993104 165.753166 267.981428
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.734144 15.120218 30.206615 57.539912 103.515586 174.865403 290.125131
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.367275 15.031762 31.194618 61.345800 113.308096 195.576147 330.773590
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.106197 12.924016 28.252293 58.001312 110.967850 197.082432 341.841269
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.639980 12.386709 28.158942 59.688080 117.190774 212.515248 375.413695
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.235147 12.002784 28.493728 62.547180 126.299337 234.222682 421.931562
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.813611 11.511336 28.582608 65.031885 135.111311 256.284705 470.801023
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.288322 10.638149 27.728828 65.549829 140.349708 272.596712 511.082615
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.677761 9.375947 25.804443 63.633129 140.801108 280.574600 537.706449
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.303612 8.653238 24.971692 63.858604 145.311149 295.896666 577.598865
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.027687 8.138136 24.539111 64.873499 151.413411 314.385877 623.874736
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.540246 6.801678 21.823057 60.431065 146.070494 311.487020 632.117531
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.387464 6.523432 21.783256 62.122425 153.498994 332.815955 684.841106
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.170612 5.942709 20.820744 61.492049 155.934176 344.746462 720.961632
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.131971 6.023321 21.724468 65.517657 168.720172 377.328343 796.639653
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.878970 5.152848 19.708910 61.980203 164.562526 376.473377 809.814541